Forecast 和 levels for Oil - page 2

谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.05.12 10:38:59  

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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev),2017.05.12 10:13

USD/CAD 和 Brent Crude Oil - USD/CAD for the bullish continuation with Brent Crude Oil for the bearish reversal (基于 文章)

每日河北体彩 对于看涨的市场状况,其处于市云之上,并且在狭窄的支撑/阻力位范围内波动:

  • 1.3793 resistance located the beginning of the bullish trend to be resumed, 和
  • 1.3641支撑位位于次要修正的开始处。

布伦特原油走势图具有良好的相关性,因此,如果美元/加元继续保持看涨趋势,那么我们可能会看到布伦特原油每日河北体彩会反转至主要看跌状态。


  • "The bid in Crude Oil over the last few sessions has been welcomed news for CAD longs, which benefit when USD/CAD falls. However, the news out of the energy market may not stay supportive for long. On Thursday, OPEC raised their 2017 estimate of supply growth from non-OPEC producers (i.e., US Shale) by 46%, which is a direct threat to the supply curbs put in place by OPEC 和 Russia 和 expected to be extended to help rebalance the market. While there has been a bounce in Crude Oil over the last few sessions, hopeful bulls should be reminded we traded at 5-month lows last week, 和 we continue to get information showing that global demand may be falling, not rising as total supply is not falling as much as originally planned. "
  • "Despite the recent concerns, USD/CAD has yet to trade above the May 5 和 2017 high of 1.3793. However, the recent volatile price action 和 discouraging undertones for drivers of CAD value may favor further CAD weakness 和 USD/CAD upside. The short-term zone of support for the uptrend is 1.3598 (December 28 high) 和 1.3875 (38.2% retracement of the April-May range.) Should the price continue to close above this zone 上 a daily basis, the current sideways price action is preferred to be seen as a precursor before a move to new 2017 highs 和 toward the long-term target of 1.3838 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2016 range.)"

============

代码库为该技术分析提供了以下指标:

  1. MFCS货币关联表 -MetaTrader 5的指示器
  2. MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF -MetaTrader 5的指示器 
  3. ColorParabolic_Alert -MetaTrader 5的指示器
  4. BrainTrend2Sig -MetaTrader 5指标(和 相同的指标 with alert)
  5. 市云 -MetaTrader 5的指示器
  6. 趋势线日 -MetaTrader 5的指示器

谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.05.25 07:25:59  

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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev),2017.05.25 07:24

布伦特原油-每日看涨反转 (基于 文章)

每日河北体彩 通过将Ichimoku云突破至上方来达到看涨区域:河北体彩正在测试54.60阻力位,看涨趋势将继续以55.95 / 56.62最近的看涨目标。另一种情况如下:河北体彩将从阻力位之一反弹至下方,回到图表的看跌区域,以在方向水平范围内波动。


X波三角
"Under this triangle scenario, prices would need to top soon 和 below $55.21. If a short term pivot forms, we would anticipate 上 e last dip to hold above $43.79 to finish off the triangle pattern. This is an overall bullish pattern that would lead to a break higher. This triangle is valid in the near term so long as crude oil prices are contained between $43.79 和 $55.21."

对角线图案
"在这种情况下,跌至43.79美元是五波对角线的第四波。这个顺序意味着原油河北体彩已经开始走高。最后一波可能会在保持绿色支撑趋势线的同时突破57美元的新高。”


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专家顾问:ElliottWaveMaker 3.0

谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev),2013.12.15 14:24

艾略特波浪 (基于技术交易员 文章)


每个投资者都看到股票下跌的奇怪现象。 有一个关于股票的好消息,或者相反,当股票上涨时, 关于这只股票有个坏消息。有没有可以使用的系统 to help analyze these trends 和 to be able to then predict stock trends? The answer is yes, 和 上 e possibility is 艾略特波浪理论.

艾略特波浪理论 检查个人群体如何反应 masses to things in their environment 和 the psychological reasons for 这样的反应。然后,艾略特波浪理论将这些反应分组为 可预测的模式或“波动”。一旦确定了特定的 trigger, you can then predict the coming waves 和 how groups will 按照那些波浪行事。

艾略特波浪:迷你波浪组成更大的波浪

艾略特波浪理论的关键组成部分是艾略特波浪 他们自己。几个迷你艾略特波浪将构成一个更大的波浪。的 大波被称为分形。分形可以组合在一起 产生更大的波浪,以显示一个完整的趋势 trigger.

艾略特波浪预测

股市是使用艾略特波动理论进行分析的绝佳工具 分析潜在的市场趋势。一旦潜在的触发因素被 确定后,可以通过 applying the Elliot Wave principles. Opportunities for solid 艾略特波浪预测 exist whether the stock is moving in an upwards or downwards trend as 艾略特波浪理论 accounts for upwards 和 downwards movement.

艾略特波浪金

艾略特波浪理论可以应用于任何交易的产品, 包括黄金。 艾略特波浪金系统可以为 出色的成长。当然,关键是能够识别触发器, understand that triggers implications, 和 then predict how groups of 投资者会做出反应。那就是可靠的,成熟的艾略特波浪理论 应用程序可以使您在投资策略中占优势。

谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.05.31 12:11:27  

原油中期技术分析:每日看跌反转 50.69支持是关键

每日河北体彩 跌破100均线(100 SMA),跌破200 SMA,则从看涨转为溢价看跌市场状况。河北体彩在以下支撑/阻力位内:

  • 54.64 resistance level located above 200 SMA 和 near above 100 SMA in the beginning of the bullish trend to be started, 和
  • 图表的主要看跌区域中的50.69支持位位于100 SMA / 200 SMA以下。

RSI指标正在估计将开始的每日看跌趋势。


  • 如果每日河北体彩下跌 54.64 阻力位位于收盘价上方,因此河北体彩将反转回到主要看涨的市场状况。
  • 如果每日河北体彩下跌 50.69 收盘支撑位在下方,因此主要的看跌市场状况将持续。
  • 如果不是这样 河北体彩将在等待强劲看跌/看涨方向的水平范围内波动。
抵抗性
 Support
54.6450.69
56.6246.62
中期战略: 收盘价收盘价突破50.69支撑位 进行可能的卖出交易。
谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.06.01 10:41:37  

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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev),2017.06.01 10:39

Brent Crude Oil 和 WTI - bullish ranging near above 一云; 43.55 for Brent Crude Oil 和 42.18 for WTI are the keys (基于 文章)

原油每周河北体彩 is located above 一云 in the bullish area of the chart. The price is ranging within 58.35 resistance level 和 46.62 support level with the descending pattern tpo be formed for the price to be crossed 46.62 和 with 43.55 bearish reversal support level.


  • "For the past couple years, crude oil has been chopping around in the $30 to $60 trading range as traders parse conflicting factors such as the persistent oil glut, OPEC production cuts, rebounding U.S. shale oil production, 和 the vagaries of the U.S. dollar. This phenomenon of low 波动率并非孤立于 原油-同样的道理 throughout 全球金融市场。”
  • "Like WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil is trading in a range between $30 和 $60 per barrel, with $40 being another important long-term support level to be mindful of. A decisive breakout from this range is necessary to confirm the next major crude oil trend."

==========

WTI每周河北体彩 is near 和 above 一云 for the ranging within 55.21 bullish continuation resistance 和 43.73 support level. Bearish descending pattern was formed by the price to be crossed to below for 42.18 bearish reversal support level as a target.


  • "West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has been trading in a clear range between $30 和 $60 per barrel, with $40/barrel being an important support level as well. WTI crude oil needs to break out of this range (in 上 e direction or another) in a convincing manner in order to signal the start of the next major trend. Until then, expect volatility to continue falling as long as WTI crude is stuck in this range."
  • “ WTI原油月度图表显示了我已经讨论了一段时间的40美元支撑位的重要性。商业原油套期保值者或“聪明的钱”在过去几年中一直处于原油空头位置,但是随着原油河北体彩下跌,石油河北体彩一直在回落。在“聪明的钱”弥补了大部分空头头寸(回到中立状态)之前,很难对原油的底部感到兴奋。”


谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.06.07 18:24:41  

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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev),2017.06.07 18:17

美国商业原油库存新闻事件:看跌细分; 48.12级是关键

2017-06-07 15:30 GMT | [美元-原油库存]

  • 过去的数据是 -6.4M
  • 预测数据是 -3.1M
  • 实际数据是 3.3M according to the 最新新闻稿

[美元-原油库存] =过去一周商业公司持有的库存原油桶数变化。

==========

“美国商业原油库存(不包括战略石油储备中的库存)比前一周增加了330万桶。”

 ==========

原油M5:看跌分解。河北体彩从100 SMA / 200 SMA反弹至下方,以利于看跌。河北体彩与48.12支撑位一起形成下降的三角形形态,该水平将跌破下方,从而继续看跌趋势。

如果河北体彩下跌 49.85 阻力位位于M5收盘价上方,因此将开始看涨逆转。
如果河北体彩下跌 48.12 支持,因此将恢复看跌趋势。
如果不是这样 河北体彩将在水平内看跌。


==========

原油日报:看跌分解. The price was bounced from 54.64 resistance 和 一云 to below for the daily bearish reversal with good breakdown by crossing descending triangle pattern to below together 48.93 support level 和 with 48.12 support as the nearest bearish target to re-enter.


如果每日河北体彩下跌 52.59 收盘价上的阻力,因此每日河北体彩从主要看跌向主要看涨的市场状况的反转将以每日看涨目标54.64重新开始为开始。
如果河北体彩跌破48.12 支撑位在每日收盘价水平上跌破下方,因此看跌趋势将继续至每日目标46.62。
如果不是这样 河北体彩将在水平内看跌。


谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.06.14 20:23:06  

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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev),2017.06.14 20:10

日内基本原理 - EUR/USD, AUD/USD 和 Brent Crude Oil: FOMC 联邦基金利率

2017-06-14 19:00 GMT | [美元 - 联邦基金利率]

  • 过去的数据是 1.00%
  • 预测数据是 1.25%
  • 实际数据是 1.25% according to the 最新新闻稿

如果实际>预测(或上一个)=对货币有利(在我们的例子中对于美元)

[美元 - Federal Funds Rate] = 存款机构隔夜将美联储持有的余额借给其他存款机构的利率。

==========

从官方报告:

  • "In view of realized 和 expected labor market conditions 和 inflation, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1 to 1-1/4 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting some further strengthening in labor market conditions 和 a sustained return to 2 percent inflation."
  • “在确定未来调整联邦基金利率目标范围的时间和规模时,委员会将评估与其最大就业率和2%通货膨胀目标相关的已实现和预期经济状况。该评估将考虑广泛的范围信息,包括劳动力市场状况的度量,通货膨胀压力和通货膨胀预期的指标以及有关金融和国际发展的读数,委员会将认真监测与其对称的通货膨胀目标有关的实际和预期通货膨胀情况。以确保联邦基金利率逐步提高的方式发展;联邦基金利率可能会在一段时间内保持低于长期预期的水平,但是,联邦基金利率的实际路径取决于传入数据所提供的经济前景。”

==========

欧元/美元M5:幅度波动幅度 联邦基金利率 news events


==========

澳元/美元M5:区间河北体彩变动幅度 联邦基金利率 news events


==========

布伦特原油M5:河北体彩范围变动 联邦基金利率 news events



谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.06.20 16:15:48  

原油技术分析:46.62支撑位跌破; 43.55是每周看跌反转水平

每周河北体彩 从54.64的阻力位暴跌至46.62的支撑位,跌破下方的看跌反转目标43.55。河北体彩在以下支撑/阻力位内:

  • 54.64 resistance level located near 和 above 一云 in the beginning of the bullish trend to be resumed, 和
  • 43.55 support level located near 和 below 一云 in the beginning of the weekly bearish reversal to be started.


  • 如果每周河北体彩下跌 54.64 阻力位位于收盘上方,因此将恢复主要看涨趋势。
  • 如果每周河北体彩跌破43.55 收盘支撑位在下方,因此将开始主要的看跌逆转。
  • 如果不是这样 河北体彩将在等待强劲看跌/看涨方向的水平范围内波动。
抵抗性
 Support
54.6443.55
58.35不适用
谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.06.22 09:32:28  

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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev),2017.06.22 09:30

石油熊市告诉我们什么 (基于 文章)

H4河北体彩 市市云下方处于看跌市场状况。如果河北体彩跌破44.52支撑位至下方,则主要看跌趋势将继续,否则-看跌范围内。


  • "Oil prices officially re-entered a bear market 上 Tuesday (defined by a decline of -20% below a recent high) as global demand remains tepid 和 supply remains stubbornly high. Economics 101 tells us that commodity prices are a function of supply 和 demand. All things being equal, prices go up when demand is strong 和 supply is stable or low. Conversely, prices fall when demand is low 和 supply is high. Since the 2008 crash, oil prices have never fully recovered because global demand has remained weak 和 supply continues to grow."
  • 派恩谷投资公司(Pine Valley Investments)的执行合伙人哈里E.莫拉德(Harry E. Morad)表示:“公平地说,高收益市场中的信用风险正在被低估。如果能源河北体彩继续下跌,那么多年的资产管理者会积极寻求收益,这可能是短期抛售的催化剂,或更糟的是,持续的熊市。但是,采用看跌策略来保护下行风险是一种保持成本有效的方式,可以继续投资于一个可以摆脱又一个风险的弹性市场。”


谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev)
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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.06.22 18:10:08  

由于是H4图表(请参阅有关图表),因此更新的情况如下:

河北体彩仍然低于 一云 in the bearish trend area, 和 new key support level for the bearish trend to be resumed is 44.34. As we see from the image below - descending triangle pattern was formed by the price to be crossed to below for the bearish trend continuation.


The bullish reversal resistance levels are 46.62 和 47.11 so if the price breaks those levels (and especially 47.11 level) to above 上 close H4 bar - the intra-day bullish reversal will be started.


By the way, if we look at the daily chart so we can see same key support level for the bearish trend to be resumed: 44.34. And the bullish reversal resistance level is 51.65 for the reversal to be started 和 54.64 for the price to be fully reversed to the primary bullish market condition.

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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev) 2017.06.23 18:57:11  

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谢尔盖·古鲁贝夫(Sergey Golubev),2017.06.23 18:55

布伦特原油-等待复苏 (基于 文章)

每日河北体彩 is below 200 SMA in the bullish area for the ranging within 44.34 support 和 46.62 resistance. Breaking 44.34 level to below will lead to the bearish trend to be continuing, 和 if the price crosses 46.62 resistance to above so the secondary bear market rally will be started with47.73/48.80 nearesttarget to re-enter.


  • “充满了乐观情绪 由于欧佩克决心重新平衡供过于求的石油市场,大宗商品市场现在已变得有些悲观。在今年2月的最后20个月中,原油河北体彩首次突破每桶55美元大关后,最近又跌至每桶45美元以下。这种崩溃在很大程度上推动了 由于石油河北体彩的突然回升使美国页岩油生产商扩大产量在经济上是可行的,因此美国石油生产和库存的增长。此外,全球钻机数量,尤其是北美钻机数量急剧增加,这表明美国的石油产量在未来几个月内可能会进一步膨胀。此外,根据最新数据,欧佩克成员国,特别是尼日利亚,利比亚和伊拉克,在上个月增加了产量,这引发了人们对石油卡特尔生产配额有效性的质疑。这可能意味着,尽管欧佩克努力抑制石油供应,进而稳定油价,但短期内油价仍可能保持低迷。”
  • “持续的大宗商品暴跌的积极结果之一是大多数美国页岩油生产商的运营成本降低。尽管在过去两年中有十几家公司被赶出了市场,但其中有一些公司,例如如 EOG Resources and ConocoPhillips - who have continued to optimize their cost structures 和 invest in innovative technologies to enhance their operational 和 capital efficiency - have managed to bring down their break-even oil price from over $80 per barrel in 2014 to under $40 per barrel at present. This has motivated independent oil 和 gas producers, such as Chesapeake and 阿纳达科·彼得罗姆(Anadarko Petroluem)将制定广泛的计划,以在本十年的剩余几年中将其产量每年增长10%-15%。”